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Microsoft’s Rally Has Further to Run This Spring

Microsoft’s Rally Has Further to Run This Spring

Tech behemoth Microsoft (MSFTGet Report) is having a great year in 2019 – since the calendar flipped to January, shares of this mega-cap stock have surged more than 26% higher, besting the rest of the broad market by a big margin.

And shares look like they could have even further to rally this spring.

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“We believe the cloud to be a secular growth trend and that upside to shares will result from Microsoft’s hybrid cloud leadership as the company grab’s market in this expanding industry. While companies may look to build out multi-cloud environments, Microsoft’s Azure offering will be a prime choice thanks to the company’s decision to provide the same “stack” used in the public cloud, to companies for their on-premise data centers” — AAP analysts.

Near-term, Microsoft is getting a shot in the arm from an unlikely source: Alibaba Group (BABAGet Report) , whose cloud service competes with Microsoft Azure, reported strong growth numbers for cloud sales, indicating that industry-wide demand continues to track higher.

That’s particularly good for Microsoft, which has made a big bet on cloud services (both in terms of licenses for its software, and a push towards providing infrastructure as a service through Azure) in recent years.

Cloud revenue growth has been a major driver of Microsoft’s price trajectory of late.

And, from a technical standpoint, that trajectory isn’t showing any signs of slowing right now. To figure out how to trade shares from here, we’re turning to the chart for a technical look:

You don’t need to be a technical trading expert to decipher Microsoft’s chart here – instead, the price action is about as straightforward as it gets.

Microsoft has been bouncing its way higher in an extremely well-defined uptrending channel since the final days of December 2018. Since then, shares have managed to bounce higher on every test of trendline support along the way.

Now, as Microsoft catches a bid off of support for the fifth time this year, it makes sense to buy the bounce.

The broad market correction that kicked off at the start of this month actually had some pretty interesting trading implications for Microsoft: It brought shares from trendline resistance (and overbought territory) at the top of its price channel down to trendline support. The fact that buyers are stepping into shares in a big way here means that it makes sense to join them.

Relative strength, the side-indicator down at the bottom of the Microsoft chart, adds some extra evidence that shares look attractive here. Relative strength has been in an uptrend of its own since February, signaling that Microsoft continues to systematically outperform the broad market despite this month’s correction.

As always, risk management is key. With the 50-day moving average acting like a decent proxy for support, it looks like a reasonable level to park a protective stop below.

Meanwhile, Microsoft is the textbook example of a “buy the dips stock” right now – and a buying opportunity is taking place this week.

3 Hot Pot Stocks to Buy Now

3 Hot Pot Stocks to Buy Now

According to a 2018 Gallup poll, 66% of Americans favor cannabis legalization. The writing is on the wall that marijuana is more than just a trend, and the majority of Americans understand that cannabis-based medicine could be a powerful alternative to doctors prescribing opioids.

The majority of Americans also understands that this is an industry that can create a massive number of new jobs and that the tax revenue can help improve schools and support infrastructure projects. In Colorado, for example, the first $40 million in cannabis taxes went to the BEST Grant Program, which is a fund that distributes money through grants for school construction.

You know all of this, and now you want to act on this information and buy the best pot stocks.

It’s certainly an exciting journey, and there could be a lot of money to be made. Some project that the cannabis market could eventually be worth $1 trillion.

That’s why at Wall Street Probe, we want to help you hit the ground running.

We have identified three pot stocks that you’ll want to add to your portfolio right now.

Before we talk about the stocks, we just want to make a quick note about the risks involved with cannabis investing. Just like with any investment, there is a chance that you will lose money. That’s why you should never invest what you can’t afford to lose.

You are the only one who knows your financial situation, and you are also the only one who knows your risk tolerance. Taking a risk is okay, but it has to be a calculated risk – and you have to understand why you are making it.

The more informed you are, the more likely it is for you to become a successful cannabis investor.

We’re excited that you’ve taken this first step to becoming a cannabis investor by reading this guide, so let’s jump right in and show you the three hottest pot stocks to buy right now.

This Cannabis Play Could Climb Over 100%

At Wall Street Probe, we talk a lot about cannabis banking. That’s because accessing loans and depositing money are still huge hurdles cannabis companies face.

But the progressive financial firms that realize how much money there is to be made working with legal cannabis companies will be handsomely rewarded.

And we’ve found the perfect play…


The Cannabis Buyout Frenzy Is Just Beginning!

Let us show you why these five cannabis stocks could make you 1,000% or more in the weeks ahead.


We talked to our friend, banking expert and Special Situation Strategist, Tim Melvin, and he told us that as of right now, there is only ONE publicly traded bank taking on cannabis customers – the rest are credit unions or privately held banks.

We’ve held off talking about this company too much before because it faced some significant challenges outside of its cannabis business. However, those challenges seem to be behind it, and we could soon see a quick jump in the stock price thanks to some positive headwinds.

So right now, we’re going to share with you hopefully another big winner to add to your growing list of cannabis investments…

Why Severn Bank Makes the Cut

The company we’re talking about is Severn Bancorp Inc. (Nasdaq: SVBI), which is headquartered in AnnapolisMaryland.

Again, there are a lot of reasons to get excited about this pick. But first, we want to take a look at the challenges that we mentioned earlier. That way, it will give you a better idea of the pros and cons of owning Severn stock as a type of back-door cannabis play.

Severn has transitioned from slow growth to faster growth recently, after spending several years recovering from the financial crisis. Year-over-year growth in assets increased from only 2% in 2017 to 20.7% in 2018, with much of that growth in the second half of the year. Deposits showed a similar growth, from 5.3% in 2017 to 29.4% in 2018, mostly in the second half of the year once again.

Thanks to good management, the company has put that money to work profitably, increasing return on equity from 3.1% in 2017 to a more respectable 9% in 2018.

A big part of that was through controlling operating expenses. The bank’s efficiency ratio (lower is better) is the lowest it has been since 2012. From an operating point of view, that makes Severn a more desirable bank than it was just a few quarters ago. The company also now has a full year of stable dividend payments under its belt after suspending dividends from 2009 to 2018. It currently has a dividend yield of 1.39% and is looking to increase that dividend sometime this year.

As a bank, the other ongoing challenge Severn has faced is rising interest rates. The common thinking is that rising interest rates benefit banks, but that’s a lot less true for smaller banks than larger ones, and Severn is a small bank.

It even identified rising interest rates as a key risk to the company’s growth, but there’s good news. The U.S. Federal Reserverecently indicated that it would be pausing its interest rate increases until economic conditions justify another bump.

That means Severn can continue to grow and profit without fear that rising rates will hurt the demand for the loans that are powering its growth.

The Boom in Bank Consolidation

One trend in Severn’s favor is an increase in bank consolidation. Analysts and many economists have been calling for larger banks to buy smaller ones for some time now, and it is finally beginning to happen.

In particular, regional banks want to become larger and are buying each other and smaller banks. The reason is consumer-driven. Consumers demand advanced services like mobile banking, fast mortgage turnarounds, and instant and personalized customer service. The technology behind all those services is expensive, and smaller banks have a hard time keeping up.

Severn is a logical consolidation candidate, with only six branches but a large market share in one of the richest counties in America – Anne Arundel CountyMaryland.

Just from an acquisition offer, shareholders could receive a premium from where the Severn stock price is trading today.


The Cannabis Buyout Frenzy Is Just Beginning!

Let us show you why these five cannabis stocks could make you 1,000% or more in the weeks ahead.


And that brings us to the cannabis business.

Severn’s Bold Cannabis Move

Cannabis has been a big part of the turnaround story at Severn, particularly when it comes to profit growth. Cannabis-related deposits and loans were around 2% of Severn’s total deposits and loans as of September 30, 2018.

But cannabis companies also provided 16% of Severn’s non-interest income. Fees are very high in the cannabis industry, and this Maryland bank will continue to profit from them.

Below, you can see how the Severn stock price has been slowly climbing thanks to the recent positive stream of news about cannabis.

Looking at the chart now, we expect the company to grow at a more normal rate going forward.

The stock price could make a run at the high seen in that chart of $9.80 per share fairly soon – not bad for a potential quick buck, but the long-term potential is even better…

Over time, the company should bump up to near its all-time high of $21.14 per share, a level not seen since before the financial crisis. That means you could profit 100% or more depending on when you buy in.

And Severn isn’t the only pick we are watching.

The Landlord of Cannabis

A critical point for newer cannabis investors is that you don’t have to invest solely in companies that grow the plant or sell the actual product.

There are dozens upon dozens of companies operating in the United States that never “touch the plant,” meaning they don’t directly run afoul of U.S. federal law.

Such companies could be producing the containers cannabis is sold in at state-legalized stores in the U.S. or federally approved ones in Canada.

Others could be providing security services at farms, greenhouses, or retail dispensaries.


The Cannabis Buyout Frenzy Is Just Beginning!

Let us show you why these five cannabis stocks could make you 1,000% or more in the weeks ahead.


Still others could be working on technological breakthroughs, including those used in “seed-to-sale” tracking software that is so important in states with tougher regulatory requirements.

These are all “pick-and-shovel” plays. And it’s a great way to cash in on the massive growth of this industry.

For those of you who signed up for our emails in the run-up to the historic American Cannabis Summit, you hopefully have already heard a little about how this stock has advantages over most cannabis companies in three key areas.

Here’s what we are talking about…

The Landlord of Cannabis Is Already a Moneymaker

Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. (NYSE: IIPR) has become one of our favorite plays in cannabis. The U.S.-based company is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that basically buys facilities – often from cannabis producers themselves – and then leases the properties back to the cannabis companies for their use.

Three things really stick out to us about this company – they’re things most cannabis companies simply can’t claim…

It’s profitable – so the business is stable and has an even lower risk than many other cannabis companies because there isn’t an issue with federal regulators.

It’s paying a dividend – so you can start collecting income fast; these are rare to find when it comes to cannabis.

It’s available on a major U.S. stock exchange – there’s no easier exchange to buy from than the New York Stock exchange, which hosts IIPR stock.

This American company is already thriving.

Now, imagine the upward potential when those federal financial restrictions finally get lifted. That will open up so many more opportunities for Innovative Industrial Properties.

One of the Best Marijuana Stocks You Can Own

On August 15, 2018, Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) made the biggest splash in cannabis history after making a $4 billion investment in Canopy Growth Corp. (NYSE: CGC), a premier cannabis grower and distributor based in OntarioCanada – claiming a 38% stake in the company in the process.

And you’re going to see in just a bit why Constellation Brands is one of the hottest pot stocks to buy.

While that influx of capital instantly became the largest single investment ever made in the cannabis market and equipped Canopy to become the “King of Cannabis” in Canada and around the world, it’s important to note, however, that this wasn’t Constellation’s first stab at the cannabis market, or even Canopy Growth.

In October 2017, Constellation decided it was time to get involved in the legal cannabis market and bought a 9.9% stake in Canopy for roughly $191 million.

At the time, it was the first move by a Fortune 500 company or a major alcoholic beverage maker to own a stake in a cannabis business.

As part of the deal, Constellation can acquire as much as a 50% stake in Canopy over the next three years, should it exercise all available warrants. Constellation also has the opportunity to nominate four directors to Canopy’s board, which is composed of just seven members, thereby giving Constellation a controlling interest.

And yet, when people talk about investing in cannabis companies, they still tend to generally ignore Constellation’s stock.

Here’s why that is a mistake.

What’s Next for This Blue-Chip Cannabis Stock

When it comes to this stock, we have no doubt of three things.

First, Constellation Brands will, over time, take full operational control of Canopy Growth and assume ownership of it.

Second, Constellation has once again gotten in front of a major trend and beaten its competitors to the market.

Third, its competitors are going to follow suit.

That’s why we’re here to tell you point blank that not only is Constellation Brands now a cannabis company, it’s now a cannabis company we think every investor needs in their portfolio.

Make no mistake, this is not a stock to trade.

It’s a stock to buy more and more of over time.

Constellation now has the assets and logistical wherewithal to become the biggest name in the marijuana market, one that will continue to grow at high rates going forward, regardless of whether or not the U.S. fully legalizes the product.

It’s a stable business and has a fixed infrastructure and multiple business relationships to leverage.

There’s also one more thing…

Remember that, with its partnership with Canopy, Constellation now has the potential to add a new line of products to its current lineup. It has the first-mover advantage in marijuana beverages just as the market takes off.

Conclusion

There has never been a better time to become a cannabis investor.

The legal market in North America was worth more than $10 billion in 2018, and some expect that the entire cannabis market may one day be worth $1 trillion.

The writing is on the wall that there is a lot of money to be made, and we are glad that we can help you start your cannabis investing journey.

While these are three hot pot stocks we wanted to share with you, they are by no means the only pot stocks worth adding to your portfolio.

If you want more information on cannabis stocks and how to take your investing skills to the next level, visit us at TimelyTradeAlerts.com.

You can also sign up for our free weekly newsletter.

To your investing success,

Wall Street Probe

P.S. Don’t forget to sign up for our trade alert service. You’ll receive access to thousands of pages of due diligence on stocks, timely stock picks and trade alerts, trading and investing education resources, a member forum, Your own personal dashboard, and a boatload of other perks.


The Cannabis Buyout Frenzy Is Just Beginning!

Let us show you why these five cannabis stocks could make you 1,000% or more in the weeks ahead.


Trade War or Not, It’s Still a ‘Buy the Dips’ Market

Trade War or Not, It’s Still a ‘Buy the Dips’ Market

Markets are back in rally mode Tuesday, with the S&P 500 index up 1.4% at midday. That’s a welcome switch following seven lower days out of the last nine sessions that have dragged the S&P about 4% off its highs.

It’s not necessarily the modest size of the drawdown that’s got investors shaken up. Instead, it’s the sharpness of the move and the fact that it’s being dominated by the trade war news cycle that’s bringing flashbacks of February and October 2018.

In other words: Is the selling going to last?

The good news is that, in the context of the longer-term rally, the answer appears to be a resounding “yes.” 

To try and decipher where the S&P is headed from here, we’re turning to the charts for a technical look.

At a glance, the S&P’s current price trajectory continues to be extremely technically obedient. Back in the final days of December, it looked like the broad market was going to put in a low and rally higher; it did. Then in the early days of April a near-term breakout cleared the way to new all-time highs; those came a few weeks later.

That’s not to say that stocks have been easily predictable year to date, only that the market has more or less followed its path of least resistance this year.

Now the S&P is testing newfound support at that same breakout level. That suggests we’re due for a bounce and buyers are stepping back into the broad market in a big way Tuesday.

The move we’re seeing here, a throwback off of the S&P’s April breakout, suggests that we’ll see a re-test of the highs set almost a month ago.

That picture is confirmed by the long-term outlook for the market:

This long-term weekly chart of the S&P is about as straightforward as they get. Reaching all the way back to 2012, we’ve been in a “buy the dips” market. And despite the fact that we’re currently on the high-end of the S&P’s historical range we’re more likely to remain up near these levels than to retrace back down to the bottom of the price channel.

In each of the last two retests of trend-line support, it’s taken three years before the next steep correction that retested the primary trend (at a much higher level, mind you).

That jives with the S&P’s overall bullish bias; looking all the way back between 1927 and the beginning of May 2019, the S&P has spent nearly half of its time within 10% of all-time highs. That makes hanging out in this range the path of least resistance in 2019.

It’s too early to say whether Tuesday will mark the end of the May correction or whether we’ll give back another few points. Either way, the weight of the evidence says that it makes sense to keep buying the dips in 2019.

Citi’s Selloff Looks Like a Buying Opportunity

Citi’s Selloff Looks Like a Buying Opportunity

The financial sector is getting pounded to start the day, with the S&P Financial Sector Index down more than 1.4% early in the Thursday session.

Within the sector, banks — and in particular Citigroup  (CGet Report) — are taking it hard. Citi shed 2.5% of its market value so far this afternoon, racking up about a 6% drop since the calendar flipped to January. That’s some pretty ugly underperformance during a stretch when market fissures seem to be forming, and investors anxiety is on the rise.

But it’s a little too early to scratch Citigroup off your buy list. In fact, Citi’s selloff actually looks like it could be a pretty textbook buying opportunity this month.

To figure out how to trade it, we’re turning to the chart for a technical look:

At a glance, it doesn’t take a trading expert to see the prevailing trend in Citigroup’s chart.

Since the final Days of December, this big bank has been bouncing its way higher in a very well-defined uptrend, catching a bid on every test of trendline support on the way up. Now, as shares of Citi close in on that trendline again in May, this looks like a “buy the dips” stock.

Momentum, measured by 14-day RSI up at the top of the chart, adds some extra evidence that buyers remain in control of things long term; momentum has managed to hang onto its uptrend in spite of the recent correction in shares of Citi, signaling that while the month-to-date drop has been unpleasant, it hasn’t been material in the context of the uptrend that preceded it.

That’s confirmed in part by a pretty textbook long-term inverse head-and-shoulders pattern that Citi started forming last fall (in grey on the chart). While much of the financial sector has been showing off this same bullish reversal pattern lately, it’s worth noting that the support level implied by the pattern for Citi right now currently coincides with the support level from the trend.

Typically, seeing converging support from a pair of independent setups tends to add significance to that level.

From here, the move to make is to buy the next bounce higher off of support for Citi.

Waiting for that bounce to happen is a critical part of risk management; traders want to see buyers assert themselves before joining them. Likewise, the 50-day moving average has been acting like a decent proxy for trendline support – that makes it a logical place to park a protective stop, if you decide to take the Citi trade.

Simply put, if Citi violates the 50-day, the uptrend is over and you don’t want to own it anymore.

In the meantime, the May drop in shares of Citigroup looks like a buying opportunity in a longer-term uptrend, not a cause for concern.

AMD Is Testing Its ‘Buy Zone’ This Spring

AMD Is Testing Its ‘Buy Zone’ This Spring

Markets are getting gut-punched to start the week; the S&P 500 is down 1.5% midway through Tuesday’s session. Despite a spectacular start to the year for the broad market, recent selling pressure has been raising anxiety levels as investors contemplate whether 2019 will be a year to follow the old adage of “sell in May and go away.”

If Tuesday’s losses hold into the close, it’ll mean four of the last five sessions have taken the S&P lower, undoing about a month’s worth of upside.

That’s the bad news.

The good news is that, so far, there’s little evidence pointing to a longer-term top here. Given the size of the rally stocks have undertaken year-to-date, a correction isn’t just normal, it’s healthy for the market.

That means that the dip we’re seeing in the S&P 500 looks more like a buying opportunity than a cause for concern. And that’s translating into similar buy-the-dips opportunities in some of the market’s strongest momentum stocks.

Case in point: Advanced Micro Devices (AMDGet Report) .

After surging more than 45% higher since the calendar flipped to January, this tech favorite is showing off a buyable dip of its own in May. To figure out how to trade it, we’re turning to the chart for a technical look:

Right now, the prevailing trend in AMD is about as simple as they get: Shares have spent all of 2019 bouncing their way higher in a well-defined uptrending channel. So far, prior tests of the bottom of that channel have provided a low-risk, high-reward buying opportunity for shares, and the situation looks the same right now.

It’s important to note that AMD hasn’t just rallied higher this year – it’s also been very technically obedient. The last time we looked at this stock, shares were breaking out of a long-term bottoming pattern. Now, with that breakout level in the rearview mirror, more upside is the high-probability move.

That’s confirmed by relative strength, which has managed to hold onto an uptrend since late October, signaling that AMD has been systematically outperforming the rest of the broad market for the last six months or so.

From here, it makes sense to wait for a bounce off of trendline support to pull the trigger on AMD.

Risk management remains key, particularly as investors generally become more anxious about the market’s next likely move. The 50-day moving average has been acting like a solid proxy for trendline support, and that makes it a logical place to park a protective stop below if you’re long AMD.

Simply put, if AMD materially violates its 50-day, then the uptrend is over and you don’t want to own it anymore.

Meanwhile, all signs point to a bounce in the near term. Wait for it to happen before you join the buyers.